Birdflu

Discussion in 'The Lounge' started by mcadam, Oct 19, 2005.

  1. mcadam

    mcadam Major Amnesia

    So, mainly directed towards UK'ers, but who reckons it'll hit the UK?
    I heard on the radio earlier that vaccines are probably going to be prepared, 120million of them, each person needing two. That's a lot of needles!
     
  2. Lev

    Lev MajorGeek

    This subject is everywhere right now McA...our papers and news bulletins are full of it also. I'm tempted to say "media hysteria" on this one....I'm sure someone will correct me ;)
     
  3. mcadam

    mcadam Major Amnesia

    Everyone's reacted badly to it, the media's fault, and making everyone worried.
     
  4. Lev

    Lev MajorGeek

    I agree. It's that time of year where they hype up all the potential negatives of the season......bad winters, intensive non-antibiotic reacting illnesses, anticipated lowest Christmas spending on record ..... it happens every year. Quite frankly we could get last year's newspapers out the archives and they would read exactly the same as this year....just different buzz words.

    Or am I just an old cynic? ;)
     
  5. quirk

    quirk Corporal

    nope, not just cynical lev.
    we hear every year of some potential pandemic virus.
    if one ever hits in our current society, we'll be done before we know it, no matter how many "boosters" we take. Instead, enjoy life and wonder about the next time we'll kill a few thousand avians at a seconds notice.
    How's our media coverage of the aids epidemic? Oh wait, that only affects people of color and non-heterosexuals! ;)
    sorry, just sick of modern journalism.
    (but i'd still like to thank the brits for the bbc!)
     
  6. Sasquatch77

    Sasquatch77 MajorGeek

    I sometimes have a hard time dealing with the annual hysteria over the various strains of flu cropping up world-wide. I have friends that won`t get thier flu shot because of the way they feel over the needle. I suppose I understand...but being a diabetic it can be a life or death situation for me. I myself have to have a shot everyday...and sometimes more often. I have an appointment to get my flu shots, as well as a pneumonia shot. I may not like it but I trust the docs to do me right. I suggest that everyone get a flu shot if possible...especially those of us with chronic medical conditions and the elderly. I damned near died from pneumonia a few years back...and I was just 41 years old. I learned my lesson.
     
  7. Sasquatch77

    Sasquatch77 MajorGeek

    I`m extremely tired of ANY coverage of the aids epidemic. Granted, it`s a horrible disease but I hold the notion that it`s a behavioral disease and except for the folks that get it through transfusions(very rare now)it`s preventable. I resent the moneys that have been spent to beat AIDS because it`s siphoned money away from other non-preventable diseases, such as cancer hemphilia diabetes et al.

    And oh yeah...the BBC rocks !
     
  8. quirk

    quirk Corporal

    thanks for the opinion sasquatch!
    in our society it is more preventable than in third world countries. agreed.
    I just see that entire countries (mostly poor) are being decimated in africa.
    On your particular case, my best friend is a type I diabetic.
    He's had alot of his expenses payed for by being a "lab rat" for new products, so we're definitely developing new tools for ya guys ;)
    It is a serious illness, and I don't mean to downplay your personal affliction.
    rock on with the rockin on
     
  9. DavidGP

    DavidGP MajorGeeks Forum Administrator - Grand Pooh-Bah Staff Member

    Will it hit the UK, possibly just like in some other EU countries ( getting closer, Romania, Greece affected ) but what do we mean by affected... well it's found in migratory birds for now.. not manifested into a human 2 human strain as yet, could it yes but who knows!

    One thing is are our GOVs actually gearing upto a strategy of yes it will and what are we going to to to minimise the effects, in the most cases yes, a vast amount of EU countries are stockpiling Tamiflu ( UK estimates then have only enough at present for 20-30% of population ), while it wont cure a strain of HN51 if/when it mutates it can hold off effects until a vaccine can be produced, sadly many will die before a vaccine can be produced in time and in quantity. Also if this does turn into a pandemic, then be very preparied for marshall law, to stop population migration from affected areas, one thing in that senario is if you are restricted to home or area, how does food get in and in enough quantities to stop painic?

    Media tends to hype everything, by giving worst case senario.... sad fact of the media age and if Jen and Brad, Britney and whats his name arnt upto much this week then need something to broadcast ;)



    On the subject of other diseases, AIDS is just as much worthy of monies to help find a cure as any other disease, I was going to add more but couldnt be bothered as it would only cause the thread to go off topic and unfair to Mcadam who started it :)
     
  10. mcadam

    mcadam Major Amnesia

    And you know what I do to people that hijack my threads.....
     
  11. DavidGP

    DavidGP MajorGeeks Forum Administrator - Grand Pooh-Bah Staff Member

    Hassle them on MSN ;)
     
  12. quirk

    quirk Corporal

    sorry mcadam,
    but i was a little on topic ;)
     
  13. Lev

    Lev MajorGeek

    Well that's it then...I'm officially hijacking this thread! I was sick this weekend, so on MSN a lot waiting for you to log on mcadam and re-add me...and you didn't! So here goes...... ;)

    How much is anyone paying for eggs at the moment? :p
     
  14. Sasquatch77

    Sasquatch77 MajorGeek

    I paid $1.29 for a dozen jumbo eggs Saturday.

    (sorry mcadam) heh heh heh
     
    Last edited: Oct 19, 2005
  15. Lev

    Lev MajorGeek

    Really??? I didn't know jumbos laid eggs :p
     
  16. star17

    star17 MajorGeek

    They do when they are real lonely ;)
     
  17. G.T.

    G.T. R.I.P February 4, 2007. You will be missed.

    I swear the media worships the 1918 flu pandemic. They just keep hoping....

    Last I heard the bird flu still needed to make 5 discrete evolutionary jumps to go person-to-person and airborne. Not really likely to happen this year. Eventually? Maybe? This year? Highly unlikely. The bird to human threat is real, but that won't cause a human pandemic. I also heard that Tamiflu won't help against it. Any viable vaccine needs the real virus to culture from, so I doubt that any vaccine they can come up with NOW will do very much good. But when people panic, government critters feel the itch to do something, even if it's pointless.
     
  18. Just Playin

    Just Playin MajorGeek

    *COUGH* *COUGH*
     
  19. Publius

    Publius Sergeant

    Actually, there is enough known about this Avian strain to begin work on a viable vaccine. While the strain is not yet capable of pandemic communication, the vaccines are based off of two conserved proteins -- hemagglutinin and neuraminidase. These two proteins do mutate and are used to define the specific strains of influenza each year, however, the mutations you speak of that can affect the communicability of the virus should not significantly alter the HA and N proteins that have already been characterized.
     
  20. G.T.

    G.T. R.I.P February 4, 2007. You will be missed.

    Good info Publius. I stand corrected. I guess the question now is how long to production in quantity. And what about whatever airborne variant is the big one for this year. Flu vaccines are always a crap-shoot. The experts have to guess ahead of time which one will make it big, before it does. They're pretty good at it though.
     
  21. Publius

    Publius Sergeant

    The CDC releases the names of the three influenza strains it believes will be the most widespread -- and makes them available to researchers and vaccine manufacturers in January of each year. The production time table is very tight and takes until early July, with testing and verification continuing until early August when the vaccine is distributed to the public. Any setback in the production or testing of the vaccine can cause a delay in the distribution, there is just no time for error.

    There is a new technology for production of influenza vaccine which uses adenovirus vectors that can be grown in cell culture (link). This process only takes about four months from beginning to end, but it is not yet approved by the FDA.

    I am not sure when the the HA and N proteins were identified for this strain of "Bird Flu", but if production of the vaccine wasn't begun many months ago, it is still some time before a vaccine could become available.

    That being said, I agree that the media has blown this out of proportion. You don't see anyone that works in this industry in a panic about it.
     

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